PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS | |||||||||
1998 POLLS: 39TH AUSTRALIAN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | |||||||||
Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions: | |||||||||
NEW SOUTH WALES | |||||||||
Total first preference votes of winners of single-member (SM) divisions are in bold, coloured type. | |||||||||
Largest no. of first preferences (a plurality) is underlined. Estimated no. of PR seats is at the foot of each table. | |||||||||
Of the 50 SM winners in NSW, the 27 without an absolute majority of first preferences are in italics and | |||||||||
The MHR for lacks a plurality. | |||||||||
Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998: 18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. (03) 9589 1802, 0429 176725 | |||||||||
Fax (03) 9589 1680 www.prsa.org.au ggd@netspace.net.au Final AEC data at www.aec.gov.au | |||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 1 | NSW | 9 MHRS | 10.00% |
|
66444 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Sydney | 38920 | 5092 | 4683 | 3926 | 20899 | 1917 | 0 | 75437 | 37719 |
Wentworth | 24198 | 4470 | 3592 | 2445 | 2004 | 0 | 73057 | 36529 | |
Grayndler | 41971 | 4301 | 3373 | 7779 | 15628 | 2342 | 0 | 75394 | 37698 |
Kingsford-Smith | 37123 | 2723 | 2505 | 3193 | 21852 | 4167 | 0 | 71563 | 35782 |
Watson | 41159 | 2309 | 1070 | 5014 | 19461 | 3392 | 0 | 72405 | 36203 |
Barton | 2028 | 1161 | 3182 | 26430 | 5162 | 0 | 75345 | 37673 | |
Cook | 22850 | 3147 | 1556 | 3048 | 37075 | 6144 | 0 | 73820 | 36911 |
Banks | 3128 | 1075 | 3672 | 24744 | 8010 | 0 | 73228 | 36615 | |
Lowe | 1714 | 1300 | 17060 | 24617 | 2768 | 0 | 74189 | 37095 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 302932 | 28912 | 20315 | 49319 | 227054 | 35906 | 0 | 664438 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 45.59 | 4.35 | 3.06 | 7.42 | 34.17 | 5.40 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 4.56 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.74 | 3.42 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 9.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
|
|
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PR DIV. | NO. 2 | NSW | 9 MHRS | 10.00% |
|
67293 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Berowra | 21763 | 5255 | 2561 | 1893 | 43180 | 4788 | 0 | 79440 | 39721 |
Mackellar | 14605 | 7104 | 2500 | 4922 | 39966 | 5355 | 0 | 74452 | 37227 |
Warringah | 19730 | 4271 | 2970 | 1079 | 39753 | 3873 | 0 | 71676 | 35839 |
Parramatta | 27521 | 2033 | 1195 | 4866 | 4495 | 0 | 71170 | 35586 | |
Bennelong | 23929 | 3504 | 2306 | 5274 | 3099 | 0 | 75088 | 37545 | |
Bradfield | 13937 | 5791 | 2218 | 1640 | 47725 | 2832 | 0 | 74143 | 37072 |
North Sydney | 20403 | 5726 | 3106 | 4561 | 42887 | 2270 | 0 | 78953 | 39477 |
Reid | 41162 | 2052 | 1293 | 6891 | 15637 | 4477 | 0 | 71512 | 35757 |
Mitchell | 16263 | 3852 | 1719 | 3368 | 46203 | 5090 | 0 | 76495 | 38248 |
TOTAL VOTES | 199313 | 39588 | 19868 | 34494 | 343387 | 36279 | 0 | 672929 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 29.62 | 5.88 | 2.95 | 5.13 | 51.03 | 5.39 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.96 | 0.59 | 0.30 | 0.51 | 5.10 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 9.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 3 | NSW | 7 MHRS | 12.50% | PR Quota= | 65584 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Macquarie | 26391 | 4895 | 2563 | 1732 | 7870 | 0 | 75883 | 37942 | |
Lindsay | 29903 | 2221 | 1518 | 3303 | 7621 | 0 | 76438 | 38220 | |
Fowler | 49472 | 2603 | 0 | 8532 | 13705 | 5886 | 0 | 80198 | 40100 |
Blaxland | 44096 | 1733 | 1107 | 4159 | 15649 | 5052 | 0 | 71796 | 35899 |
Greenway | 3497 | 1459 | 4960 | 23865 | 7774 | 0 | 77565 | 38783 | |
Prospect | 41310 | 3405 | 1074 | 2434 | 15965 | 5199 | 0 | 69387 | 34694 |
Chifley | 43496 | 3595 | 1014 | 3412 | 14485 | 7400 | 0 | 73402 | 36702 |
TOTAL VOTES | 270678 | 21949 | 8735 | 28532 | 147973 | 46802 | 0 | 524669 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 51.59 | 4.18 | 1.66 | 5.44 | 28.20 | 8.92 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 4.13 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.44 | 2.26 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
|
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PR DIV. | NO. 4 | NSW | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
63811 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Throsby | 44468 | 2751 | 2230 | 2328 | 12538 | 8267 | 0 | 72582 | 36292 |
Cunningham | 37592 | 4108 | 3158 | 3483 | 17285 | 5378 | 0 | 71004 | 35503 |
Hughes | 27711 | 3096 | 2224 | 3083 | 7020 | 0 | 81333 | 40667 | |
Macarthur | 28495 | 3761 | 2692 | 0 | 9246 | 0 | 84589 | 42295 | |
Werriwa | 37106 | 2594 | 1605 | 2359 | 21251 | 8440 | 0 | 73355 | 36678 |
TOTAL VOTES | 175372 | 16310 | 11909 | 11253 | 129668 | 38351 | 0 | 382863 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 45.81 | 4.26 | 3.11 | 2.94 | 33.87 | 10.02 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.75 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 2.03 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 5 | NSW | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
63730 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Richmond | 31129 | 2305 | 4323 | 2603 | 0 | 8278 | 81283 | 40642 | |
Page | 26548 | 2162 | 3460 | 3033 | 0 | 8473 | 74989 | 37495 | |
Cowper | 24213 | 2570 | 2960 | 1550 | 0 | 11234 | 73337 | 36669 | |
Lyne | 22456 | 1974 | 1501 | 2347 | 0 | 9011 | 38812 | 76101 | 38051 |
Paterson | 1467 | 1577 | 2988 | 31212 | 6355 | 0 | 76665 | 38333 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 137412 | 10478 | 13821 | 12521 | 31212 | 43351 | 133580 | 382375 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 35.94 | 2.74 | 3.61 | 3.27 | 8.16 | 11.34 | 34.93 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.16 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.49 | 0.68 | 2.10 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 6 | NSW | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
61192 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Newcastle | 5267 | 5770 | 10980 | 0 | 10141 | 0 | 61536 | 30769 | |
Shortland | 38004 | 2605 | 2681 | 1878 | 20733 | 7499 | 0 | 73400 | 36701 |
Charlton | 3689 | 2679 | 2494 | 22175 | 9664 | 0 | 80305 | 40153 | |
Dobell | 2546 | 1626 | 1564 | 29014 | 7300 | 0 | 76820 | 38411 | |
Robertson | 29917 | 3303 | 1598 | 364 | 6940 | 0 | 75085 | 37543 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 171673 | 17410 | 14354 | 17280 | 104885 | 41544 | 0 | 367146 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 46.76 | 4.74 | 3.91 | 4.71 | 28.57 | 11.32 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.81 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 1.71 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 7 | NSW | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
58846 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Gwydir | 17773 | 1624 | 0 | 2709 | 0 | 13875 | 66810 | 33405 | |
Hunter | 39187 | 2278 | 1433 | 810 | 11919 | 8131 | 7976 | 71734 | 35867 |
New England | 15733 | 1466 | 1460 | 7956 | 11261 | 9288 | 68463 | 34232 | |
Parkes | 26070 | 1246 | 0 | 8657 | 7261 | 9230 | 73255 | 36628 | |
Calare | 17425 | 581 | 676 | 7640 | 7954 | 8556 | 72812 | 36406 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 116188 | 7195 | 3569 | 50112 | 38081 | 48478 | 89451 | 353074 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 32.91 | 2.04 | 1.01 | 14.19 | 10.79 | 13.73 | 25.33 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.97 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 0.82 | 1.52 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 8 | NSW | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
59994 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Eden-Monaro | 28692 | 3343 | 2301 | 188 | 7004 | 0 | 73182 | 36591 | |
Gilmore | 26509 | 2444 | 2020 | 1481 | 8206 | 0 | 74050 | 37025 | |
Hume | 22466 | 1817 | 1560 | 1106 | 7471 | 6433 | 69152 | 34576 | |
Riverina | 19234 | 1770 | 0 | 1218 | 15942 | 9129 | 74353 | 37177 | |
Farrer | 16489 | 2940 | 0 | 3531 | 0 | 9664 | 36602 | 69226 | 34613 |
TOTAL VOTES | 113390 | 12314 | 5881 | 7524 | 109285 | 41474 | 70095 | 359963 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 31.50 | 3.42 | 1.63 | 2.09 | 30.36 | 11.52 | 19.47 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.89 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1.82 | 0.69 | 1.17 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
|
|||||||||
PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS | |||||||||
1998 POLLS: 39TH AUSTRALIAN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | |||||||||
Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions: | |||||||||
VICTORIA, TASMANIA, SOUTH AUSTRALIA | |||||||||
Total first preference votes of winners of single-member (SM) divisions are in bold, coloured type. | |||||||||
Largest no. of first preferences (a plurality) is underlined. Estimated no. of PR seats is at the foot of each table. | |||||||||
Of the 54 SM winners, the 32 without an absolute majority of first preferences are in italics and blink. | |||||||||
The MHRs for and each lack a plurality. | |||||||||
Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998: 18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. (03) 9589 1802, 0429 176725 | |||||||||
Fax (03) 9589 1680 www.prsa.org.au ggd@netspace.net.au Final AEC data at www.aec.gov.au | |||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 9 | VIC | 9 MHRS | 10.00% |
|
53683 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Scullin | 52320 | 4503 | 0 | 1552 | 18882 | 0 | 0 | 77257 | 38629 |
Lalor | 46374 | 4090 | 1339 | 1446 | 19381 | 3127 | 0 | 75757 | 37879 |
Burke | 4365 | 1397 | 1120 | 26317 | 3319 | 0 | 73034 | 36518 | |
Calwell | 50022 | 5363 | 0 | 3723 | 21111 | 0 | 0 | 80219 | 40110 |
Maribyrnong | 48458 | 3469 | 1867 | 2842 | 18305 | 0 | 0 | 74941 | 37471 |
Gellibrand | 51443 | 3420 | 2180 | 1327 | 15233 | 2638 | 0 | 76241 | 38121 |
Melbourne | 45958 | 7122 | 4811 | 2194 | 19289 | 0 | 0 | 79374 | 39688 |
Wills | 50507 | 4507 | 0 | 3673 | 20280 | 0 | 0 | 78967 | 39484 |
Batman | 53034 | 4038 | 3705 | 3486 | 16290 | 0 | 0 | 80553 | 40277 |
TOTAL VOTES | 331091 | 32332 | 11594 | 14204 | 138518 | 9084 | 0 | 536823 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 61.68 | 6.02 | 2.16 | 2.65 | 25.80 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 6.17 | 0.60 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 2.58 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 9.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
|
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PR DIV. | NO. 10 | VIC | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
67816 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Jagajaga | 4732 | 2633 | 733 | 31760 | 1971 | 0 | 80671 | 40336 | |
Menzies | 24812 | 4395 | 0 | 9526 | 1383 | 0 | 75531 | 37766 | |
Chisholm | 5392 | 2431 | 2583 | 32771 | 2064 | 0 | 78516 | 39259 | |
Deakin | 30079 | 6177 | 1929 | 3005 | 2232 | 0 | 77469 | 38735 | |
Melbourne Ports | 6099 | 3523 | 1593 | 29037 | 1380 | 0 | 74481 | 37241 | |
Higgins | 24852 | 5770 | 2155 | 2041 | 41353 | 1208 | 0 | 77379 | 38690 |
Kooyong | 23107 | 6366 | 3177 | 1164 | 43028 | 1637 | 0 | 78479 | 39240 |
TOTAL VOTES | 207816 | 38931 | 15848 | 20645 | 247411 | 11875 | 0 | 542526 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 38.31 | 7.18 | 2.92 | 3.81 | 45.60 | 2.19 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 3.06 | 0.57 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 3.65 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 11 | VIC | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
67907 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Dunkley | 29755 | 4392 | 2971 | 520 | 3399 | 0 | 76334 | 38168 | |
Isaacs | 4355 | 1570 | 957 | 28060 | 2971 | 0 | 73517 | 36759 | |
Holt | 44172 | 4425 | 0 | 3466 | 21823 | 0 | 0 | 73886 | 36944 |
Hotham | 46107 | 3720 | 1492 | 978 | 26059 | 2559 | 0 | 80915 | 40458 |
Goldstein | 26980 | 6156 | 2328 | 1310 | 41881 | 1822 | 0 | 80477 | 40239 |
Bruce | 4718 | 1195 | 1798 | 30257 | 2296 | 0 | 78429 | 39215 | |
Aston | 30689 | 6000 | 0 | 2056 | 2306 | 0 | 79696 | 39849 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 251472 | 33766 | 9556 | 11085 | 222022 | 15353 | 0 | 543254 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 46.29 | 6.22 | 1.76 | 2.04 | 40.87 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 3.70 | 0.50 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 3.27 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 12 | VIC | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
66811 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Mallee | 16471 | 3440 | 0 | 2878 | 0 | 9516 | 43132 | 75437 | 37719 |
Wannon | 23897 | 4957 | 0 | 4251 | 5889 | 0 | 76564 | 38283 | |
Corangamite | 26923 | 4765 | 2292 | 2159 | 4140 | 0 | 74615 | 37308 | |
Ballarat | 31232 | 2824 | 1083 | 2926 | 3738 | 0 | 76330 | 38166 | |
Bendigo | 3533 | 2080 | 3299 | 28004 | 5159 | 2479 | 78037 | 39019 | |
Murray | 16061 | 2276 | 1243 | 6615 | 46070 | 5259 | 0 | 77524 | 38763 |
Corio | 38608 | 4352 | 0 | 3602 | 25561 | 3854 | 0 | 75977 | 37989 |
TOTAL VOTES | 186675 | 26147 | 6698 | 25730 | 206068 | 37555 | 45611 | 534484 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 34.93 | 4.89 | 1.25 | 4.81 | 38.55 | 7.03 | 8.53 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.79 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 3.08 | 0.56 | 0.68 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 13 | VIC | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
65760 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Flinders | 28874 | 4923 | 2057 | 715 | 4029 | 0 | 77168 | 38585 | |
Indi | 21572 | 3708 | 1825 | 4148 | 38590 | 6023 | 0 | 75866 | 37934 |
Gippsland | 19438 | 3931 | 0 | 10354 | 0 | 8454 | 73951 | 36976 | |
McMillan | 3228 | 1645 | 9505 | 29512 | 3963 | 0 | 75848 | 37925 | |
McEwen | 30350 | 3652 | 2020 | 2968 | 3877 | 0 | 75818 | 37910 | |
Casey | 24732 | 5481 | 1634 | 5412 | 2412 | 0 | 73993 | 36997 | |
La Trobe | 27733 | 6447 | 2801 | 1820 | 3173 | 0 | 73430 | 36716 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 180694 | 31370 | 11982 | 34922 | 203401 | 31931 | 31774 | 526074 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 34.35 | 5.96 | 2.28 | 6.64 | 38.66 | 6.07 | 6.04 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.75 | 0.48 | 0.18 | 0.53 | 3.09 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
|
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PR DIV. | NO. 14 | TAS | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
51247 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Bass | 1491 | 2595 | 1165 | 27974 | 2057 | 0 | 61146 | 30574 | |
Braddon | 1601 | 2794 | 1143 | 23480 | 2446 | 0 | 58107 | 29054 | |
Denison | 34854 | 2460 | 4698 | 497 | 20114 | 0 | 0 | 62623 | 31312 |
Franklin | 3003 | 3962 | 0 | 24266 | 0 | 0 | 61411 | 30706 | |
Lyons | 32843 | 1469 | 3042 | 2243 | 21543 | 3050 | 0 | 64190 | 32096 |
TOTAL VOTES | 150384 | 10024 | 17091 | 5048 | 117377 | 7553 | 0 | 307477 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 48.91 | 3.26 | 5.56 | 1.64 | 38.17 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.93 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 2.29 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 15 | SA | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
65865 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Adelaide | 27756 | 7077 | 2518 | 749 | 3837 | 0 | 74110 | 37055 | |
Port Adelaide | 39449 | 6696 | 0 | 2328 | 19083 | 6731 | 0 | 74287 | 37144 |
Bonython | 35961 | 6539 | 0 | 891 | 17253 | 10542 | 0 | 71186 | 35593 |
Makin | 31194 | 8502 | 0 | 1393 | 8009 | 0 | 82800 | 41400 | |
Sturt | 23766 | 8174 | 0 | 1618 | 4385 | 0 | 72646 | 36323 | |
Boothby | 23547 | 9821 | 0 | 544 | 5213 | 0 | 75560 | 37781 | |
Hindmarsh | 29912 | 5659 | 2058 | 302 | 5362 | 0 | 76324 | 38163 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 211585 | 52468 | 4576 | 7825 | 206380 | 44079 | 0 | 526913 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 40.16 | 9.96 | 0.87 | 1.49 | 39.17 | 8.37 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 3.21 | 0.80 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 3.13 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
|
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PR DIV. | NO. 16 | SA | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
66514 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Grey | 23581 | 3802 | 0 | 1054 | 9469 | 1592 | 75167 | 37584 | |
Wakefield | 17526 | 6200 | 0 | 1690 | 40464 | 13473 | 1458 | 80811 | 40406 |
Barker | 16844 | 4919 | 0 | 7643 | 10096 | 1746 | 77660 | 38830 | |
Mayo | 18290 | 18791 | 0 | 2318 | 6146 | 0 | 83791 | 41896 | |
Kingston | 7725 | 0 | 2762 | 32211 | 7510 | 0 | 81649 | 40825 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 107682 | 41437 | 0 | 15467 | 183002 | 46694 | 4796 | 399078 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 26.98 | 10.38 | 0.00 | 3.88 | 45.86 | 11.70 | 1.20 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.62 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 2.75 | 0.70 | 0.07 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
|
|||||||||
PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS | |||||||||
1998 POLLS: 39TH AUSTRALIAN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | |||||||||
Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions: | |||||||||
QUEENSLAND, WESTERN AUSTRALIA, ACT, NT | |||||||||
Total first preference votes of winners of single-member (SM) divisions are in bold, coloured type. | |||||||||
Largest no. of first preferences (a plurality) is underlined. Estimated no. of PR seats is at the foot of each table. | |||||||||
Of the 44 SM winners, the 39 without an absolute majority of first preferences are in italics and blink. | |||||||||
The MHRs for and each lack a plurality. | |||||||||
Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998: 18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. (03) 9589 1802, 0429 176725 | |||||||||
Fax (03) 9589 1680 www.prsa.org.au ggd@netspace.net.au Final AEC data at www.aec.gov.au | |||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 17 | QLD | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
62693 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Leichhardt | 26361 | 2243 | 2056 | 1180 | 9904 | 0 | 71294 | 35648 | |
Kennedy | 22110 | 1907 | 1033 | 2950 | 0 | 14240 | 75595 | 37798 | |
Herbert | 28588 | 1979 | 1747 | 2886 | 10991 | 0 | 76874 | 38438 | |
Dawson | 29507 | 1567 | 1027 | 840 | 0 | 12350 | 77603 | 38802 | |
Capricornia | 2255 | 1334 | 1378 | 0 | 10393 | 24197 | 74786 | 37394 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 141795 | 9951 | 7197 | 9234 | 60233 | 57878 | 89864 | 376152 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 37.70 | 2.65 | 1.91 | 2.45 | 16.01 | 15.39 | 23.89 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.26 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.96 | 0.92 | 1.43 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 18 | QLD | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
60356 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Maranoa | 18936 | 2114 | 1066 | 2319 | 0 | 16892 | 75402 | 37702 | |
Hinkler | 29021 | 1677 | 1139 | 309 | 0 | 13739 | 72356 | 36179 | |
Wide Bay | 20391 | 1552 | 917 | 1480 | 5937 | 18891 | 71737 | 35869 | |
Groom | 18787 | 1993 | 1307 | 3038 | 13382 | 11335 | 74473 | 37237 | |
Blair | 17239 | 2478 | 1230 | 925 | 24516 | 6989 | 68164 | 34083 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 104374 | 9814 | 5659 | 8071 | 45355 | 87420 | 101439 | 362132 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 28.82 | 2.71 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 12.52 | 24.14 | 28.01 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.73 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.75 | 1.45 | 1.68 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 19 | QLD | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
59675 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Fairfax | 19679 | 2754 | 2381 | 2200 | 12171 | 4692 | 68586 | 34294 | |
Fisher | 19205 | 2697 | 1852 | 2033 | 0 | 69106 | 34554 | ||
Longman | 24254 | 3477 | 2206 | 0 | 12663 | 0 | 69761 | 34881 | |
Dickson | 3008 | 1536 | 7310 | 25622 | 6271 | 0 | 73646 | 36824 | |
Ryan | 23350 | 6139 | 2945 | 1697 | 38785 | 4032 | 0 | 76948 | 38475 |
TOTAL VOTES | 116387 | 18075 | 10920 | 13240 | 149464 | 45269 | 4692 | 358047 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 32.51 | 5.05 | 3.05 | 3.70 | 41.74 | 12.64 | 1.31 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.95 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 2.50 | 0.76 | 0.08 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 20 | QLD | 5 MHRS | 16.67% |
|
59742 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
McPherson | 24441 | 2826 | 2390 | 544 | 7065 | 3190 | 73785 | 36893 | |
Moncrieff | 21055 | 2610 | 2175 | 1615 | 37527 | 7357 | 0 | 72339 | 36170 |
Forde | 22431 | 3093 | 1546 | 515 | 11746 | 0 | 68689 | 34345 | |
Fadden | 22460 | 3248 | 1472 | 1418 | 9213 | 0 | 72006 | 36004 | |
Oxley | 2773 | 1200 | 4694 | 17538 | 12653 | 0 | 71628 | 35815 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 123157 | 14550 | 8783 | 8786 | 151947 | 48034 | 3190 | 358447 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 34.36 | 4.06 | 2.45 | 2.45 | 42.39 | 13.40 | 0.89 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.06 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 2.54 | 0.80 | 0.05 | 5.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 21 | QLD | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
67325 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Petrie | 30882 | 3962 | 1395 | 0 | 8637 | 0 | 77870 | 38936 | |
Lilley | 3863 | 1785 | 711 | 30185 | 6702 | 0 | 78863 | 39432 | |
Brisbane | 4878 | 3824 | 1592 | 30570 | 3895 | 0 | 80412 | 40207 | |
Bowman | 4021 | 1606 | 0 | 27927 | 8227 | 0 | 74387 | 37194 | |
Griffith | 3920 | 2108 | 807 | 32018 | 5546 | 0 | 79520 | 39761 | |
Moreton | 31227 | 4046 | 2627 | 959 | 5626 | 0 | 78209 | 39105 | |
Rankin | 2923 | 1536 | 2468 | 20736 | 8749 | 0 | 69336 | 34669 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 234030 | 27613 | 14881 | 6537 | 208154 | 47382 | 0 | 538597 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 43.83 | 5.17 | 2.79 | 1.22 | 38.98 | 8.87 | 0.00 | 100.87 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 3.48 | 0.41 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 3.09 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
PR DIV. | NO. 22 |
|
7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
66744 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Perth | 38395 | 3517 | 4713 | 682 | 22689 | 6555 | 0 | 76551 | 38276 |
Swan | 3720 | 3892 | 1812 | 29848 | 6278 | 0 | 76031 | 38016 | |
Tangney | 25521 | 4350 | 3542 | 1730 | 5564 | 0 | 77254 | 38628 | |
Fremantle | 3450 | 5281 | 957 | 25051 | 5834 | 0 | 77204 | 38603 | |
Curtin | 18026 | 3780 | 4971 | 13925 | 2934 | 0 | 78810 | 39406 | |
Stirling | 3303 | 3820 | 1530 | 32015 | 5096 | 0 | 76758 | 38380 | |
Cowan | 2847 | 2760 | 850 | 27797 | 5777 | 0 | 71343 | 35672 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 211360 | 24967 | 28979 | 21486 | 209121 | 38038 | 0 | 533951 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 39.58 | 4.68 | 5.43 | 4.02 | 39.16 | 7.12 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 3.17 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.32 | 3.13 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 23 | WA | 7 MHRS | 12.50% |
|
63604 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Forrest | 20332 | 2253 | 5303 | 2754 | 10029 | 2354 | 75196 | 37599 | |
Brand | 36391 | 1630 | 2012 | 2225 | 19413 | 8308 | 0 | 69979 | 34990 |
Canning | 2489 | 3007 | 2696 | 25350 | 9823 | 0 | 72566 | 36284 | |
Pearce | 22751 | 4248 | 4420 | 288 | 9381 | 1017 | 74580 | 37291 | |
Moore | 21743 | 2611 | 3209 | 14739 | 4943 | 0 | 71999 | 36000 | |
O'Connor | 16877 | 1799 | 2845 | 2628 | 10449 | 6137 | 76118 | 38060 | |
Kalgoorlie | 18890 | 1367 | 2899 | 16236 | 5737 | 4088 | 68386 | 34194 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 166185 | 16397 | 23695 | 41566 | 188715 | 58670 | 13596 | 508824 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 32.66 | 3.22 | 4.66 | 8.17 | 37.09 | 11.53 | 2.67 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 2.61 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.65 | 2.97 | 0.92 | 0.21 | 7.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 24 | ACT | 2 MHRS | 33.33% |
|
64895 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISIONS | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Fraser | 50573 | 7157 | 4371 | 2529 | 27088 | 4773 | 0 | 96491 | 48246 |
Canberra | 7237 | 3774 | 1708 | 32336 | 5122 | 0 | 98192 | 49096 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 98588 | 14394 | 8145 | 4237 | 59424 | 9895 | 0 | 194683 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 50.64 | 7.39 | 4.18 | 2.18 | 30.52 | 5.08 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 1.52 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.92 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 2.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
|
|||||||||
PR DIV. | NO. 25 | NT | 1 MHR | 50.00% |
|
45469 | TOTAL FIRST | SINGLE-MEMBER QUOTA | |
SM DIVISION | ALP | AD | GRN. | OTH. | LIB. | ONP | NAT. | PREFERENCES | (ABSOLUTE MAJORITY) |
Northern Territory | 4658 | 2753 | 1642 | 36014 | 7401 | 0 | 90937 | 45469 | |
TOTAL VOTES | 38469 | 4658 | 2753 | 1642 | 36014 | 7401 | 0 | 90937 | |
% OF SUB-TOTAL | 42.30 | 5.12 | 3.03 | 1.81 | 39.60 | 8.14 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NO. OF QUOTAS | 0.85 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.79 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 1.99 | |
ESTIM. PR SEATS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
|
|||||||||
PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS | |||||||||
1998 POLLS: 39TH AUSTRALIAN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | |||||||||
Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998: 18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. (03) 9589 1802, 0429 176725 | |||||||||
Fax (03) 9589 1680 www.prsa.org.au ggd@netspace.net.au Final AEC data at www.aec.gov.au | |||||||||
RESULTS AUSTRALIA-WIDE | |||||||||
NUMBERS OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES GAINED | |||||||||
ALP | AD | GREEN | OTHER | LIB | ONP | NAT | TOTAL | ||
NSW | 1486958 | 154156 | 98452 | 211035 | 1131545 | 332185 | 293126 | 3707457 | |
Victoria | 1261289 | 171091 | 59383 | 113745 | 1053990 | 105798 | 77385 | 2842681 | |
Queensland | 719743 | 80003 | 47440 | 45868 | 615153 | 285983 | 199185 | 1993375 | |
WA | 377545 | 41364 | 52674 | 63052 | 397836 | 96708 | 13596 | 1042775 | |
SA | 319267 | 93905 | 4576 | 23292 | 389382 | 90773 | 4796 | 925991 | |
Tasmania | 150384 | 10024 | 17091 | 5048 | 117377 | 7553 | 0 | 307477 | |
ACT | 98588 | 14394 | 8145 | 4237 | 59424 | 9895 | 0 | 194683 | |
NT | 38469 | 4658 | 2753 | 1642 | 36014 | 7401 | 0 | 90937 | |
AUSTRALIA | 4452243 | 569595 | 290514 | 467919 | 3800721 | 936296 | 588088 | 11105376 | |
NUMBERS OF PR (HARE-CLARK) SEATS GAINED | |||||||||
ALP
|
AD
|
GREEN
|
OTHER
|
LIB
|
ONP
|
NAT
|
TOTAL
|
||
NSW | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 50 | |
Victoria | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 37 | |
Queensland | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | |
WA | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | |
SA | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
Tasmania | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
ACT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
NT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
TOTAL PR SEATS | 69 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 58 | 3 | 9 | 148 | |
TOTAL SM SEATS | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 0 | 16 | 148 | |
PERCENTAGES OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES GAINED | |||||||||
ALP | AD | GREEN | OTHER | LIB | ONP | NAT | TOTAL | ||
NSW | 40.11 | 4.16 | 2.66 | 5.69 | 30.52 | 8.96 | 7.91 | 100.00 | |
Victoria | 44.37 | 6.02 | 2.09 | 4.00 | 37.08 | 3.72 | 2.72 | 100.00 | |
Queensland | 36.11 | 4.01 | 2.38 | 2.30 | 30.86 | 14.35 | 9.99 | 100.00 | |
WA | 36.21 | 3.97 | 5.05 | 6.05 | 38.15 | 9.27 | 1.30 | 100.00 | |
SA | 34.48 | 10.14 | 0.49 | 2.52 | 42.05 | 9.80 | 0.52 | 100.00 | |
Tasmania | 48.91 | 3.26 | 5.56 | 1.64 | 38.17 | 2.46 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
ACT | 50.64 | 7.39 | 4.18 | 2.18 | 30.52 | 5.08 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NT | 42.30 | 5.12 | 3.03 | 1.81 | 39.60 | 8.14 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
AUSTRALIA | 40.09 | 5.13 | 2.62 | 4.21 | 34.22 | 8.43 | 5.30 | 100.00 | |
|
|||||||||
PERCENTAGES OF PR (HARE-CLARK) SEATS GAINED | |||||||||
ALP
|
AD
|
GREEN
|
OTHER
|
LIB
|
ONP
|
NAT
|
TOTAL
|
||
NSW | 48.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 38.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | 100.00 | |
Victoria | 48.65 | 8.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.84 | 0.00 | 5.41 | 100.00 | |
Queensland | 40.74 | 3.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.04 | 7.41 | 11.11 | 100.00 | |
WA | 42.86 | 0.00 | 7.14 | 0.00 | 42.86 | 7.14 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
SA | 41.67 | 8.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
Tasmania | 60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
ACT | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
NT | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
% PR SEATS | 46.62 | 4.73 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 39.19 | 2.03 | 6.08 | 100.00 | |
% SM SEATS | 45.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 | 43.24 | 0.00 | 10.81 | 100.00 |
SUMMARY
As the above table shows, the percentage of single-member seats won by the parties of the incoming Coalition Government (54.0%) is well in excess of the percentage of first preference votes they received (39.5%). The table shows that this injustice would not have occurred if a Hare-Clark form of proportional representation had been used as the electoral system.
Under Hare-Clark the percentage of Coalition seats would have been 45.3%, which is much closer to the minority of votes they received than is the result under the distorting single-member system. The simplest Hare-Clark outcome would be an ALP Government supported by the Australian Democrats, as those two parties would together have gained 51.3% of the seats.
With Hare-Clark, casual vacancies filled by countback of general election ballot-papers, as in the Tasmanian and ACT Assemblies, the predictable party continuity lets Governments last full term.
Also under Hare-Clark at least 2.0% of MHRs would have represented one
other distinct body of opinion, that 8.4% of voters that gave their first
preference vote to the One Nation Party. The present system excludes that
ONP minority entirely, yet awards the smaller 5.3% National Party minority
vote 10.8% of the seats - not the fairer 6.1% that Hare-Clark would give.
************