| PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS: | |||||
| 1996 POLLS FOR 53RD LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF VICTORIA | |||||
| Copyright 1999 Proportional Representation Society of Australia: 18 Anita Street Beaumaris 3193 ggd@netspace.net.au | |||||
| Tel (03) 9589 1802 Fax 9589 1680 www.cs.mu.oz.au/~lee/prsa Data from www.vec.vic.gov.au August 1999 | |||||
| SEATS | |||||
| ALP | OTHERS | NAT | LIB | TOTAL | |
| Hare-Clark PR Multi-member Districts | 42 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 88 |
| Present 'Winner-take-all' Single-member Districts | 29 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 88 |
| First Preference Votes | 1,189,475 | 170,740 | 184,419 | 1,212,933 | 2,757,567 |
| PERCENTAGES | |||||
| ALP | OTHERS | NAT | LIB | TOTAL | |
| Hare-Clark PR Multi-member Districts | 47.7% | 1.1% | 6.8% | 44.3% | 100.0% |
| Present 'Winner-take-all' Single-member Districts | 33.0% | 1.1% | 10.2% | 55.7% | 100.0% |
| First Preference Votes | 43.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 44.0% | 100.0% |
| SUMMARY: | |||||
| Under a Hare-Clark
electoral system, with the grouping of seats suggested, the Coalition parties
would have gained 51.1% of
the Assembly seats with 50.7% of
the first preference votes State-wide, instead of the
65.9% of seats they gained under the
present 'Winner-take-all' single-member district system.
That one-seat absolute majority for the Coalition would not have been jeopardized as a result of seats becoming vacant, which is a major weakness of the existing single-member district system, as Hare-Clark vacancies are filled not by a by-election poll, but by a re-examination, by the Electoral Commission, of the ballots cast at the last General Election. That method of filling casual vacancies ensures that the replacement MLA represents the same quota of voters that elected the vacating candidate, at the same general election, and the replacement MLA can thus be reasonably expected to have a broad political view similar to that of the vacating candidate. |
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