The table below summarises the analyses of the three most recent polls
for the Legislative Council, comparing percentages of first preference
votes, seats gained under Hare-Clark and seats gained under the current
single vacancy system. The Hare-Clark analysis assumed two districts,
each electing eleven members at a time, as in Model 2 discussed in Section
4.2. More detailed analysis is available from the
PRSA13.
| Nat | Lib | AD | Lab | Other | |
| 1999 | |||||
| First preference votes | 7.3 | 39.7 | 6.8 | 42.2 | 4.0 |
| Seats under Hare-Clark | 9.1 | 40.9 | 4.5 | 45.5 | 0.0 |
| Seats under single vacancy | 13.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 0.0 |
| 1996 | |||||
| First preference votes | 6.6 | 43.9 | 5.7 | 40.5 | 3.3 |
| Seats under Hare-Clark | 4.6 | 50.0 | 4.6 | 40.9 | 0.0 |
| Seats under single vacancy | 13.6 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 22.7 | 0.0 |
| 1992 | |||||
| First preference votes | 8.7 | 43.5 | 0.3 | 38.6 | 8.9 |
| Seats under Hare-Clark | 9.1 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 40.9 | 4.5 |
| Seats under single vacancy | 13.6 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 22.7 | 0.0 |
As can be seen from the figures above, results under Hare-Clark closely reflect the voting patterns, whereas the current single vacancy system deviates significantly. The main reason the system deviates significantly is that barely half the votes in the State elect anybody, so that it is literally possible, in an extreme example, for almost 75% of voters to vote for candidates of a particular party yet for that party to gain less than 50% of the seats, and find another party holding the remaining seats!