Proportional Representation Society of Australia Inc.

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info@prsa.org.au

www.prsa.org.au

2025-09-10

 

 

Proportional Representation (Hare-Clark) Analysis:

Australian House of Representatives Polls

 

Click on a blue hyperlink below to an election year for full details of a likely poll outcome under Hare-Clark PR.

 

PERCENTAGES OF:

GROUPS:

1996

1998

2001

2004

2007
2025

 



1st preference votes

Coalition

46.8

39.5

43.0

46.7

41.4
31.8

Labor

38.8

40.1

37.8

37.6

43.4
34.6

Greens

  2.9

  2.6

  5.0

  7.2

  7.8
12.2

Others

11.6

17.8

14.2

  8.4

  5.4
  7.8

PR (Hare-Clark) seats
(single-member divisions)

Coalition

50.7

45.3

48.0

50.7

45.3
38.0

Labor

41.9

46.6

43.3

44.7

50.0
40.0

Greens

  0.0

  0.7

  3.3

  2.7

  3.3
14.0

Others

 7.5

  5.4

  5.3

  2.0

  1.3
  6.0

Winner-take-all seats
(single-member divisions)

Coalition

63.6

54.0

54.7

58.0

44.6
28.7

Labor

33.1

45.3

43.3

40.0

54.0
62.7

Greens

  0.0

  0.0

   0.0

   0.0

  0.0
  0.7

Others

  3.4

  0.7

   2.0

   2.0

  1.3
  8.1