Proportional Representation analysis
 

2001 POLLS FOR THE 40TH AUSTRALIAN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

 

Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions

 

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Summary Table: Click on this table, which shows that the returned Liberal Party and National Party Coalition Government gained only 43.01% of first preference votes, yet they gained 54.67% of the single-member seats. The table shows that this unjust imbalance would not apply under a Hare-Clark proportional representation electoral system, where the outcome would be either a Liberal and National Party Government with the support of at least four of the Independents, Greens and Australian Democrats; or else an ALP Government with the support of at least eleven of the Independents, Greens, and Australian Democrats.  

Graph Click on the graph of the various parties' percentage of the vote, which illustrates the statement above.  With Hare-Clark casual vacancies filled by countback of general election ballot-papers, as for the Tasmanian and ACT Assemblies, the predictable party continuity lets Governments last full term. 

Details of the 26 Multi-member PR Districts: Click on details to see the PR districts, the votes in each, and the seats that would be won with that arrangement, compared with the single-member seats actually won. The single-member system reveals that in 87 of the 150 single-member districts an absolute majority of voters cast their first preference vote for a candidate other than the candidate that was elected.  

This election shows that the diversity of views of the electorate would have been more faithfully represented, and less distorted, if a Hare-Clark multi-member PR electoral system had been used instead of single-member electoral districts. The analysis shows that the only parties to win an absolute majority of votes in any of the 26 multi-member PR districts were the Liberal Party in Nos. 2 and 16, and the ALP in No. 9. No party won an absolute majority of votes in the remaining 23 multi-member PR districts. 

Under Hare-Clark PR in Tasmania a party has often won a majority of votes in one or more of that State's five multi-member districts, but only once has a Tasmanian MHA (Douglas Lowe in 1979) received an absolute majority of first preference votes, because the diversity of candidates and their support has nearly always let voters express their diverse views with a real chance of their being represented. There is no restrictive "winner-take-all" scheme operating for the Lower House of either Tasmania or the Australian Capital Territory, as there is in all the other Lower Houses in Australia, which still continue to be elected from single-member electorates. 

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